Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 27

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)


	Hamilton Academical		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.5	Watch
	5.6	3.95	1.5	Watch
	6.42	4.34	1.49
	6.35	4.19	1.5	Watch
	6	4	1.5
	6.25	4.2	1.46	Watch
	5.6	3.95	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↓ (6.68)	4.14 ↓ (4.53)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
15.3%

Draw
22.5%

Falkirk
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

20.5%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.8%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Falkirk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hamilton Academical - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: Falkirk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lyness D. (G) 22. Tumilty R. 14. Maguire B. 5. McGinty S. (C) 24. McKinstry S. 17. Robinson S. 11. Bradley S. 30. Gallacher T. 16. MacDonald K. 13. Smith C. 19. Shaw O.	1. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Adams K. 6. Donaldson C. (C) 5. Henderson L. 3. McCann L. 8. Spencer B. 21. Tait D. 29. Miller C. 37. Arfield S. 23. Ross E. 16. Stewart B.
Substitutes
1. Albinson C. (G) 7. Henderson E. 33. Hendrie S. 4. Kilday L. 3. Longridge J. 6. McGowan D. 9. O'Hara K. 25. Telfer Ch. 18. Todorov N.	11. Agyeman A. 22. Graham L. 4. Lang T. 26. Mackie S. 31. Munro R. (G) 18. Oliver G. 7. Thomson M. 2. Yeats F.
Coaches
Rankin J.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Henderson L. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
31', Donaldson C. ↓, Graham L. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Tumilty R. ⚽, Robinson S. (A),
44', 2 - 1, McKinstry S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Gallacher T. ↓, Hendrie S. ↑,
50', Bradley S. 🟨,
60', MacDonald K. 🟨,
65', Arfield S. 🟨,
65', Tait D. ↓, Yeats F. ↑,
65', Ross E. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
69', McKinstry S. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
72', Arfield S. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
72', Stewart B. ↓, Oliver G. ↑,
84', Bradley S. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
84', Smith C. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
84', Shaw O. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Agyeman A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 0.

Recent matches Hamilton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Falkirk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Falkirk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hamilton have a series of guest games.

In this match Falkirk is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
25.02.25	Hamilton Academical - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Queens Park - Hamilton Academical	1:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWL
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Football Championship
21.02.25	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Falkirk - Ayr United	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Falkirk - Partick Thistle	5:2 ✺
31.01.25	Falkirk - Livingston	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Raith Rovers - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
21.12.24	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	1:0
18.10.24	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	1:3
Scottish League One
13.04.24	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	0:2
17.02.24	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	3:2
16.12.23	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	1:3
07.10.23	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	0:0
Scottish League Cup
17.07.21	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	1:2

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