The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quevilly 26.5%
Draw 28.1%
Amiens 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
29.7%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
28.6%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amiens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Quevilly - Amiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Quevilly will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Amiens will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Silistrie M. (G) 19. Gazzaoui Y. (C) 28. Mopila S. 26. Theresin V. 18. Hamdi M. 29. Silva R. 7. Come Ruiz S. 21. Bouekou N. 17. Sarr D. 20. Capuano G. 2. Ros M.
1. Delins V. (G) 4. Mbala K. 25. Genton E. 3. Julloux A. 12. Ribelin A. 8. Suljic C. 22. Boissier R. (C) 19. Nuss A. 20. Llort L. 32. Diakite L. 26. Mbondi C.
Substitutes
34. El Kaddouri B. 6. Gafour E. 5. Gaya Y. 3. Hornech E. 22. Rosa R. 8. Tchimbembe W. 40. Viel T. (G)
30. Atigan A. (G) 15. Colin M. 6. Foll G. 17. Giacomini A. 23. Herisse N. 28. Julien E. 10. Sopromadze Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gazzaoui Y. ⚽, Come Ruiz S. (A),
17', Come Ruiz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ros M. 🟨,
46', Ribelin A. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
56', Julloux A. ↓, Sopromadze Z. ↑,
56', Suljic C. ↓, Giacomini A. ↑,
57', Come Ruiz S. ↓, Tchimbembe W. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Mbondi C. ⚽,
67', Silva R. ↓, El Kaddouri B. ↑,
68', Genton E. 🟨,
71', Mbondi C. ↓, Julien E. ↑,
77', Gazzaoui Y. 🟨,
77', Sopromadze Z. 🟨,
81', Capuano G. ↓, Rosa R. ↑,
81', Ros M. ↓, Gaya Y. ↑,
81', Bouekou N. ↓, Gafour E. ↑,
90+1', Nuss A. ↓, Foll G. ↑,
90+4', Colin M. 🟨,
90+5', Llort L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quevilly won 1.
In recent outings, Quevilly has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Amiens is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Amiens could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Quevilly has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Quevilly against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Amiens
9
4
3
2
12:3
9
15
13
Quevilly Rouen
9
2
4
3
8:12
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Amiens - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.3%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.