Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Sportpark Nieuw Zuid (Katwijk)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra, Star Channel


	Quick Boys		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.1	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.8	1.87
	3.4	4	1.95	Watch
	3.23	4.3	1.91	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2
	3.53	4	1.93	Watch
	3.4	4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (4.9)	3.99 ↓ (4)	1.94 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quick Boys
28.4%

Draw
23.4%

Heerenveen
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22.7%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quick Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quick Boys's performance.

Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heerenveen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quick Boys than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quick Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heerenveen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Quick Boys - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Jansen L. (G) 2. Bosman C. 3. Staal I. (C) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 12. Bouwman T. 8. Reinders J. 7. Broekhuizen N. 24. Meerstadt J. 11. Junte R. 19. Zonneveld M. 27. Brouwer P.	13. van der Hart M. (G) 45. Braude O. 17. Hopland N. 3. de Wijs J. 11. Kohlert M. (C) 16. Linday M. 21. van Ee E. 7. Nunnely C. 14. Smans L. 10. Sebaoui I. 26. Rallis D.
Substitutes
16. Bensabouh A. 6. de Beste L. 34. Erol H. 21. Hamann L. 4. Kamp J. 25. Prljic L. 1. Van der Helm P. (G) 10. van Duijn L. 32. Vlieland J.	39. Ahmed I. 15. Ali H. 23. Bekkema J. (G) 6. Conde A. 2. Hall D. 30. Jahanbakhsh A. 22. Klaverboer B. (G) 27. Milovanovic M. 18. Nicolaescu I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 28. Petrov H. 20. Trenskow J.
Coaches
Duivenvoorden T.	van Persie R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Ogidi Nwankwo N. 🟨,
29', van Ee E. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Ogidi Nwankwo N. ⚽, Reinders J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Sebaoui I. ⚽, Kohlert M. (A),
69', Reinders J. ↓, Prljic L. ↑,
73', Rallis D. ↓, Nicolaescu I. ↑,
73', Smans L. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
73', Sebaoui I. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Nicolaescu I. ⚽, Jahanbakhsh A. (A),
79', Bouwman T. ↓, de Beste L. ↑,
79', Broekhuizen N. ↓, Hamann L. ↑,
81', van der Hart M. ↓, Noppert A. ↑,
85', Bosman C. ↓, van Duijn L. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Zonneveld M. (Pen),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Kohlert M. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
105+4', 3 - 2, van Duijn L. ⚽, Hamann L. (A),
106', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Milovanovic M. ↑,
106', Meerstadt J. ↓, Kamp J. ↑,
111', Zonneveld M. ↓, Bensabouh A. ↑,
112', Bensabouh A. 🟨,

Preview

Quick Boys is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Heerenveen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heerenveen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Heerenveen have a series of guest games.

Heerenveen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVV Quick Boys
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	Quick Boys - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.12.24	Quick Boys - Scheveningen	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Quick Boys	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Quick Boys - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
23.11.24	Spakenburg - Quick Boys	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWT
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
12.01.25	NAC Breda - Heerenveen	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.25	Paderborn - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
06.01.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.24	Almere City - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.24	ASWH - Heerenveen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW

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