Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sportpark Nieuw Zuid (Katwijk)

Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra


	Quick Boys		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.57
	4.4	4.1	1.57
	5	4.5	1.57	Watch
	4.46	4.46	1.57
	4.54	4.59	1.59	Watch
	4.8	4	1.6
	4.87	4.25	1.6
	5	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (6)	4.36 ↑ (4.25)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quick Boys
19.6%

Draw
21.4%

Fortuna Sittard
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.6%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

23%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quick Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quick Boys than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quick Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Quick Boys - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortuna Sittard will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Jansen L. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 3. Staal I. (C) 12. Bouwman T. 2. Bosman C. 7. Broekhuizen N. 8. Reinders J. 27. Brouwer P. 24. Meerstadt J. 19. Zonneveld M. 10. van Duijn L.	1. Koopmans L. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 6. van Ottele S. 14. Guth R. 35. Dijks M. 22. Bastien S. 32. Rosier L. 10. Halilovic A. 33. Bullaude E. 7. Peterson K. 23. Da Cruz A.
Substitutes
17. Admiraal L. 16. Bensabouh A. 34. Erol H. 21. Hamann L. 4. Kamp J. 20. Scholten M. 1. Van der Helm P. (G) 32. Vlieland J.	71. Bayram R. (G) 8. Dahlhaus J. 85. Embalo U. 50. Erceg A. 80. Fosso R. 5. Grujcic D. 40. Martens N. (G) 20. Michut E. 28. Mitrovic J. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 77. Tunjic L.
Coaches
Duivenvoorden T.	Buijs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Da Cruz A. ⚽, Halilovic A. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Broekhuizen N. ⚽, Meerstadt J. (A),
45', Guth R. 🟨,
45', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Zonneveld M. ⚽, Broekhuizen N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bullaude E. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
46', Peterson K. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Zonneveld M. ⚽, Brouwer P. (A),
52', Dijks M. 🟨,
54', Pinto I. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
54', Dijks M. ↓, Dahlhaus J. ↑,
65', van Duijn L. ↓, Kamp J. ↑,
66', Erceg A. 🟨,
71', Reinders J. 🟨,
71', van Ottele S. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
80', Broekhuizen N. ↓, Hamann L. ↑,
90', Brouwer P. 🟨,
90+2', Reinders J. ↓, Bensabouh A. ↑,
90+2', Zonneveld M. ↓, Erol H. ↑,

Preview

Quick Boys is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fortuna Sittard is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fortuna Sittard is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVV Quick Boys
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.12.24	Quick Boys - Scheveningen	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Quick Boys	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Quick Boys - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
23.11.24	Spakenburg - Quick Boys	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Quick Boys - BVV Barendrecht	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWTW
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.24	Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk	3:2 ✺
07.12.24	Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTLL

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