Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Almere City		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.25
	3.2	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.36	3.45	2.29
	3.23	3.36	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	3.22	3.52	2.21	Watch
	3.2	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)	3.41 ↓ (3.86)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
29.6%

Draw
27.9%

Heerenveen
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	18.2%	69.7%

Almere City - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 3. Jacobs Jo. 22. Barbet T. 14. Zagaritis V. 8. Tahiri A. 19. Haye T. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 16. Nalic A. 11. Kadile J. 9. Robinet T. (C)	13. van der Hart M. (G) 2. Hall D. 4. Kersten S. 17. Hopland N. 45. Braude O. 21. van Ee E. 14. Smans L. 8. Brouwers L. (C) 30. Jahanbakhsh A. 26. Rallis D. 10. Sebaoui I.
Substitutes
23. Balboa A. 6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 17. Hansen K. 15. Lawrence J. 25. Mamengi C. 24. Mattoir F. 7. Providence R. 28. Receveur T. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)	15. Ali H. 24. Al-Saed D. 23. Bekkema J. (G) 32. Bouw R. 6. Conde A. 9. Karlsbakk D. S. 27. Milovanovic M. 18. Nicolaescu I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 7. Nunnely C. 19. Olsson S. 20. Trenskow J.
Coaches
Dastgir A.	van Persie R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Brouwers L. 🟨,
44', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sebaoui I. ↓, Nunnely C. ↑,
46', Rallis D. ↓, Nicolaescu I. ↑,
48', van Ee E. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Nalic A. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Jacobs Jo. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
62', Haye T. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
70', Braude O. ↓, Trenskow J. ↑,
74', Nalic A. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
74', Kadile J. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
84', Barbet T. ↓, Lawrence J. ↑,
84', Tahiri A. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Balboa A. ⚽, Providence R. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 10).

Almere City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Heerenveen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heerenveen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Heerenveen will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Trenskow J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Almere City: Guillaume B. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Kohlert M. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Heerenveen to win the game is with odds 2.27.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.24	Ajax - Almere City	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Almere City - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	NAC Breda - Almere City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Almere City - Feyenoord	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.24	ASWH - Heerenveen	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.24	Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Willem II - Heerenveen	1:2 ✺
29.11.24	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.24	Heerenveen - Almere City	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
03.05.24	Almere City - Heerenveen	1:1
01.12.23	Heerenveen - Almere City	3:0
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Heerenveen - Almere City	1:1

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