The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 53.6%
Draw 28.6%
Arsenal Sarandí 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
28.7%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
27.9%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Perez F. 2. Aranda G. 6. Flores F. 3. Bindella A. 7. Martinez R. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 8. Marghetich T. 11. Allende L. 10. Kaprof J. 9. Coronel J.
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Purita E. 2. Roselli N. 6. Cocca M. 3. Serrano V. 8. Duarte L. 5. Trombini M. 7. Juarez A. 10. Lucero M. 9. Sabatini I. 11. Gonzalez T.
Substitutes
19. Belinetz O. 17. Capano J. 12. Herrera L. 16. Kalinski E. 20. Machado C. 15. Mino M. 18. Roseti M. 13. Tevez F. 14. Vazquez G.
14. Amaya A. 20. Bordagaray F. 15. Colletta T. 17. Frascone N. 12. Herrera F. (G) 19. Klusener G. 18. Rius C. 13. Vera M. 16. Vila J.
Coaches
Duscher A.
Franco D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marghetich T. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
54', Kaprof J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
61', Serrano V. 🟨,
62', Martinez R. 🟨,
63', Allende L. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
64', Duarte L. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
76', Coronel J. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
76', Martinez R. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
78', Juarez A. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
78', Purita E. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
83', Roselli N. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).