The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tristán Suárez 43.9%
Draw 34%
Quilmes 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
37.4%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
37.4%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Tristán Suárez - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Aguilar B. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 7. Guillen M. 8. Del Priore N. 5. Enrique M. 11. Ramirez S. 10. Becker D. 9. Conechny R.
1. Marinelli G. (G) 2. Kippes A. 4. Romeo L. 6. Novillo J. 3. Bindella A. 8. Ortega A. 7. Vera U. 5. Bolivar A. 11. Fernandez M. 10. Batista A. 9. Spetale A.
Substitutes
18. Banuera G. 19. Berrondo A. 20. Gallo A. 15. Luayza M. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Molina A. 17. Noriega L. 13. Olguin M. 16. Sanchez N.
. Aimale J. . Bonacci P. . Canadell J. (G) . Colazo N. . Martinez R. . Rodriguez . Vazquez G. . Vega G. . Yangali J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramirez S. ↓, Banuera G. ↑,
53', Enrique M. 🟨,
54', Enrique M. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
59', Conechny R. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
69', Fernandez M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
74', Kippes A. 🟥,
78', Romeo L. 🟨,
80', Spetale A. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
80', Vera U. ↓, Rodriguez ↑,
81', Aguilar B. ↓, Olguin M. ↑,
81', Becker D. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
88', Batista A. ↓, Yangali J. ↑,
90', Fernandez N. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 3.
Tristán Suárez is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Quilmes have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tristán Suárez holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tristán Suárez has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tristán Suárez against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Quilmes - the odds 4.02 are the expected chance of winning is 23.23%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.