Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	San Lorenzo		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.1	5.25
	1.88	3.05	4.75	Watch
	1.98	3.17	4.48
	1.67	3.41	5.22	Watch
	1.75	3	5.5
	1.86	3.17	4.89
	1.72	3.3	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.58)	3.17 ↓ (3.51)	5.06 ↓ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
52.1%

Draw
29.4%

Quilmes
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

26.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

26.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

San Lorenzo - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 5. Dominguez N. 36. Herrera D. 37. Baez E. 24. Tripichio N. 38. Perruzzi I. 7. Cerutti E. 45. Gulli F. 28. Cuello A. 9. Vombergar A.	1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Perez F. 2. Aranda G. 6. Flores F. 3. Bindella A. 8. Mino M. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 11. Allende L. 10. Roseti M. 9. Kaprof J. 7. Machado C.
Substitutes
20. Altamirano F. (G) 15. Cecchini E. 35. Cordoba A. 41. Escalante V. 44. Hernandez G. 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 53. Pedroza R. 40. Rattalino J. 33. Rodriguez Pagano T. 22. Salinardi Branco	19. Belinetz O. 22. Benzi T. 23. Capano J. 20. Coronel J. 12. Herrera L. (G) 13. Juarez M. 16. Kalinski E. 15. Luna S. 18. Martinez R. 21. Postigo J. 17. Santiago M. 14. Vangioni L.
Coaches
Ayude D.	Rondina S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Gulli F. 🟨,
20', Baez E. 🟨,
24', Vombergar A. (Pen),
43', Bindella A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kaprof J. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
57', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
65', Gulli F. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
69', Bindella A. 🟨,
70', Machado C. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
71', Mino M. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
80', Allende L. 🟨,
80', Roseti M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
87', Tripichio N. ↓, Salinardi Branco ↑,
90+1', Cerutti E. 🟨,
90+3', Ramirez I. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Allende L. (Pen),
1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
2, Belinetz O. (Pen),
2, Cuello A. (Pen),
3, Aranda G. (Pen),
3, Herrera E. (Pen),
4, Ramirez I. (Pen),
4, Baez E. (Pen),
5, Flores F. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.

San Lorenzo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Quilmes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, San Lorenzo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.05.25	San Lorenzo - Platense	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.25	San Lorenzo - Tigre	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWTL
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.06.25	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	2:2 ✺
13.06.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Tristán Suárez - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
26.05.25	Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Güemes - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.03.17	San Lorenzo - Quilmes	3:0
20.03.16	Quilmes - San Lorenzo	3:0
29.05.15	Quilmes - San Lorenzo	1:2
28.08.14	Quilmes - San Lorenzo	0:3
23.02.14	San Lorenzo - Quilmes	1:0
26.08.13	Quilmes - San Lorenzo	3:2
03.05.13	Quilmes - San Lorenzo	1:2

Upcoming Matches