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Current Win Probability
Rosario Central 43.2%
Draw 28.9%
Quilmes 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
25.9%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
24.8%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quilmes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+18%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
23.1%
38.5%
Rosario Central - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Quilmes will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 19.8% – 57.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Neutral location.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosario won 3.
Rosario is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Quilmes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rosario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Rosario will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Rosario won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Rosario won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.