Match Info

Date: 13 September 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Quilmes		Tigre

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.9	1.95	Watch
	3.9	2.9	2.05
	3.65	2.9	2.05
	3.95	2.95	1.96
	4.35	3.09	2.03
	3.9	2.9	2
	3.8	3.14	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.08)	2.97 ↑ (2.91)	2.01 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
23.5%

Draw
30.9%

Tigre
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

32%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.7%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Quilmes - Tigre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Quilmes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tigre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Quilmes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tigre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.08.21	Agropecuario Argentino - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
22.08.21	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
15.08.21	Temperley - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
07.08.21	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
01.08.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Quilmes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTTW
- CA Tigre
Copa Argentina
08.09.21	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.09.21	Tigre - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Deportivo Maipú - Tigre	0:4 ✺
21.08.21	Tigre - Temperley	1:1 ✺
16.08.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.21	Tigre - Quilmes	1:0
07.02.20	Quilmes - Tigre	2:1
18.08.19	Tigre - Quilmes	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.11.16	Tigre - Quilmes	3:0
03.08.15	Tigre - Quilmes	0:1
01.09.14	Tigre - Quilmes	0:0
02.03.14	Quilmes - Tigre	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.11.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes	✺

Quilmes - Tigre