Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Leiston		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.18	3.34	3
	2.19	3.55	3.02	Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.16	3.28	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.07)	3.3 ↓ (3.63)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
41.8%

Draw
27.5%

Bury Town
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

25.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Bury Town aligns with the current prediction.

Leiston - Bury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Canfer O. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Canfer O. ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, Mauge J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 3, Blois R. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Leiston could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 3.59% Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18:8	10	24
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
03.04.26	Redditch United - Leiston	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Leiston - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Leiston - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Stamford - Leiston	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leiston - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLT
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
03.04.26	Bury Town - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Harborough Town - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Halesowen Town - Bury Town	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bury Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Bury Town - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
03.02.26	Bury Town - Leiston	1:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.15	Leiston - Bury Town	0:1
26.12.14	Bury Town - Leiston	0:0
04.02.14	Bury Town - Leiston	0:2
24.08.13	Leiston - Bury Town	0:4

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