Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Redditch United		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.3	3.15
	2.11	3.3	3.26
	2.07	3.61	3.24	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.03	3.32	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.94)	3.33 ↓ (3.52)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Redditch United
44.2%

Draw
27.3%

Leiston
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Redditch United - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bunn R. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Cameron A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 3 - 0, Ward L. ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, Dudley-Toole D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Redditch won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Redditch will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Redditch won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Redditch won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2:1.8).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Redditch: 0.61% Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11
12	Redditch	9	2	4	3	12:13	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Royston Town - Redditch United	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Redditch United - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bury Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Redditch United - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Spalding United - Redditch United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWL
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Leiston - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Leiston - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Stamford - Leiston	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leiston - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sudbury Town - Leiston	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Leiston - Redditch United	2:0
01.02.25	Leiston - Redditch United	1:0
19.10.24	Redditch United - Leiston	1:2
13.04.24	Redditch United - Leiston	5:0
04.11.23	Leiston - Redditch United	0:1
27.02.23	Redditch United - Leiston	3:1
26.11.22	Leiston - Redditch United	2:1

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