Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 19

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)


	Rīgas FS 2		Super Nova

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.1
	1.8	4.09	3.49	Watch
	1.8	3.72	3.67
	1.85	4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.95 ↓ (4.2)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rīgas FS 2
49.8%

Draw
23%

Super Nova
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

21.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

21.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rīgas FS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas FS 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Rīgas FS 2 - Super Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vilkovs S. (G) 2. Boroviks S. 77. Derkach M. 17. Deruzinskis R. 21. Ilenans K. 29. Jacenkovs R. 7. Minins J. 10. Nagasawa M. 4. Oss M. (C) 3. Rudens K. 99. Sylla M.	99. Bite K. (G) 42. Artjomovs K. 5. Cirulis J. (C) 16. Ivanovs E. 3. Mamich D. 77. Muradjans A. 14. Nakamura R. 17. Sula D. 15. Tihonovics M. 6. Vejkrigers D. 21. Zengis R.
Substitutes
81. Atars P. 90. Gandzs L. 11. Juhnevics A. 1. Kirjanovs D. (G) 19. Kirsanovs K. 20. Poldseps R. 8. Sedols D.	13. Butovskis A. 32. Cevers R. 94. Denisovs A. 26. Diallo B. 29. Maculevics K. (G) 30. Penka R. 9. Silagailis H. 22. Skadmanis K. 7. Zihs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Sula D. ⚽, Tihonovics M. (A),
33', Sula D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oss M. ↓, Gandzs L. ↑,
46', Minins J. ↓, Juhnevics A. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Sula D. ⚽, Tihonovics M. (A),
63', Muradjans A. ↓, Penka R. ↑,
72', Sula D. ↓, Silagailis H. ↑,
72', Tihonovics M. ↓, Cevers R. ↑,
79', Derkach M. 🟨,
81', Nakamura R. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
81', Ilenans K. ↓, Poldseps R. ↑,
88', Derkach M. ↓, Sedols D. ↑,
88', Artjomovs K. ↓, Butovskis A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Relegation: )).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

RFS 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Super Nova have a series of home games.

RFS 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches RFS 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rīgas FS 2
Latvian 1 Liga
31.08.24	Ogre United - Rīgas FS 2	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Smiltene - Rīgas FS 2	0:3 ✺
10.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Olaine	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Valmiera 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Super Nova FC
Latvian 1 Liga
08.09.24	Rēzekne - Super Nova	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Super Nova - Leevon PPK	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Super Nova - JDFS Alberts	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Super Nova - Skanstes	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Super Nova - Riga 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
12.07.24	Super Nova - Rīgas FS 2	1:0

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