Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 22

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Easi Arena (La Louvière)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana


	RAAL La Louvière		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.63	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.3
	2.55	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.67	3.45	2.72
	2.48	3.39	2.82	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.63
	2.71	3.38	2.74	Watch
	2.6	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	2.64 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RAAL La Louvière
35.7%

Draw
28.4%

Sint-Truidense
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

28.5%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

27.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RAAL La Louvière's performance.

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sint-Truidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RAAL La Louvière that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	7.7%	53.8%

RAAL La Louvière - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - La Louvière (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Peano M. (G) 99. Okou Y. 13. Maisonneuve M. 25. Lamego D. 19. Benavides D. 15. Lahssaini S. 8. Gueulette S. 11. Liongola J. 23. Ito J. 22. Afriyie J. 7. Fall P. M.	16. Kokubo L. (G) 3. Hata T. 5. Taniguchi S. 26. Musliu V. 60. Vanwesemael R. 14. Merlen R. 8. Sissako A. 7. Muja A. 13. Ito R. 10. Sebaoui I. 42. Goto K.
Substitutes
1. De Schrevel C. (G) 3. Gillot N. 5. Lutonda T. 98. Maes O. 20. Makembo-Ntemo N. 66. Ndefe M. J. 27. Nsingi N. 91. Traore S.	11. Delpupo I. 77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 4. Mbe Soh L. 53. Nhaili A.
Coaches
Taquin F.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Okou Y. 🟨,
18', Taniguchi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Musliu V. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Fall P. M. ⚽, Liongola J. (A),
63', 1 - 1, Taniguchi S. ⚽, Muja A. (A),
70', Muja A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
72', Benavides D. ↓, Gillot N. ↑,
77', Ito J. ↓, Lutonda T. ↑,
81', Afriyie J. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
88', Ito R. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Diouf O. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
90+3', Merlen R. ↓, Mbe Soh L. ↑,
90+4', Liongola J. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

In recent matches, La Louvière has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sint-Truidense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

La Louvière may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, La Louvière has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Yamamoto R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in La Louvière: Faye W. (Face Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12:12	0	8
15	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	1	6	8:18	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.01.26	Club Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	2:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
13.01.26	Royal Antwerp - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	RAAL La Louvière - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Westerlo - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Zulte Waregem - RAAL La Louvière	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLTLT
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.26	Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.25	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	2:1

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