Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 40

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Sint-Truidense		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.9	3.1	Watch
	1.83	4	3.8
	1.95	4.1	3.2	Watch
	2.03	4.01	3.39
	2.01	4.05	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.25
	1.97	4.01	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.77)	3.97 ↓ (4.07)	3.35 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
48.2%

Draw
23.7%

KV Mechelen
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sint-Truidense's form might have worsened.

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KV Mechelen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KV Mechelen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sint Truidense - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lendfers M. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 5. Taniguchi S. (C) 26. Musliu V. 3. Hata T. 6. Yamamoto R. 8. Sissako A. 7. Muja A. 14. Merlen R. 10. Sebaoui I. 42. Goto K.	1. De Wolf O. (G) 39. Decoene M. 2. Halhal R. 3. Marsa J. 7. Koudou T. 29. Salifou D. 6. Hammar F. (C) 17. Servais M. 19. Mrabti K. 28. Boersma B. 9. van Brederode M.
Substitutes
12. Coppens J. (G) 77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 38. Matsuzawa K. 4. Mbe Soh L. 23. Pupe J. 99. Shinkawa S.	38. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 4. Diouf G. 10. Kireev M. 8. Konate M. 14. Raman B. 18. Struyf I. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G) 27. Vanrafelghem K.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Vanderbiest F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Muja A. ⚽, Yamamoto R. (A),
40', Decoene M. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Hata T. ⚽, Muja A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salifou D. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
48', Halhal R. 🟨,
63', Servais M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
69', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Merlen R. ⚽,
74', Boersma B. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
79', Mrabti K. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
79', Koudou T. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
81', Muja A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
81', Goto K. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
85', Yamamoto R. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
85', Taniguchi S. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
87', Merlen R. 🟨,
89', Lendfers M. ↓, Coppens J. ↑,

Preview

Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mechelen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sint-Truidense is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Ito R. (Injury)

There will not play in Mechelen: Zekri M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Mechelen: Kireev M. (Inactive) Ozdemir H. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12:12	0	8
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.05.26	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Gent	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWW
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.05.26	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4
21.12.25	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	1:0
04.10.25	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:3
21.02.25	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:1
08.11.24	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	2:1
12.05.24	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	2:1
05.04.24	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	2:3

Upcoming Matches