Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 24

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)


	RFC Liège		Lierse

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.69	3.51
	1.97	3.68	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.03	3.55	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)	3.32 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
45.9%

Draw
26.2%

Lierse
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.8%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

RFC Liège - Lierse Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - RFC Liège (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RFC Liège will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RFC Liège will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belin J. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 5. Ngawa P. 4. Bustin J. 25. D'Ostilio J. (C) 28. Wilmots R. 6. Shkurti K. 18. Paulet S. 8. Ruiz Atil K. 7. Bruggeman B. 19. Soelle F.	61. Vroman K. (G) 27. De Peuter D. 6. Matuta E. 2. Perdichizzi P. (C) 77. Masaki H. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 26. Van Elsuwege T. 8. Daguin V. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 10. Stanic A. 30. De Schrijver P.
Substitutes
1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 27. Corneillie V. 24. De Sart A. 20. Gobitaka F. 11. Lefebvre A. 14. Lucker L. 13. Mouchamps D. 23. Reynaerts S.	9. Boncina L. 17. Demuynck D. 1. De Smet J. (G) 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 66. Mertens J. 29. Sy M. 44. Verbist L. 24. Willems J. 21. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Englebert G.	Shoffner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bruggeman B. ⚽, Wasinski M. (A),
28', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
34', De Peuter D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', De Peuter D. ↓, Mertens J. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Mertens J. ⚽,
71', Shkurti K. ↓, De Sart A. ↑,
71', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
78', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Soelle F. ⚽, Ngawa P. (A),
82', Mayoka-Tika N. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
82', De Schrijver P. ↓, Boncina L. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

RFC Liège is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lierse is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, RFC Liège is considered a favorite.

We predict that RFC Liège will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	RFC Liege	7	1	2	4	11:18	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
31.01.26	Anderlecht U23 - RFC Liège	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	RFC Liège - Lommel	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Seraing - RFC Liège	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	RFC Liège - Francs Borains	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTWW
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.02.26	Lierse - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Anderlecht U23 - Lierse	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Beveren - Lierse	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Lommel - Lierse	4:3 ✺
16.12.25	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.10.25	Lierse - RFC Liège	1:2
23.02.25	RFC Liège - Lierse	2:1
06.12.24	Lierse - RFC Liège	2:1

RFC Liège - Lierse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide