Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 31

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Neuville (Charleroi)


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.32	3.55	2.68	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.79
	2.35	3.66	2.74	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.63
	2.3	3.38	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.63 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
39.1%

Draw
26.1%

Genk U23
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

25.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.1%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Genk U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Embela A. (G) 12. Ramalho J. 4. Jahic H. 27. De Medina N. 5. Thea A. 77. Ferrara L. 2. Sarkic O. 17. Cachbach M. (C) 10. Ion R. 11. Florica L. 8. Lake T.	97. Doucoure E. (G) 2. Pierre K. 22. Manguelle B. 59. Kapers W. 84. Sarfo E. 86. Haroun K. 53. Mocsnik M. 79. Nzoko D. 89. Kim M. 67. Camara A. 50. Beniangba V. (C)
Substitutes
18. Berberi R. 81. Dailly N. 38. Diallo T. 6. Kis K. 32. Mbalanda J. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 9. Omosanya M. 28. Spago E. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)	66. Coenen J.
Coaches
Abdelli N.	de Camargo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Pierre K. 🟨,
19', Kapers W. 🟨,
28', Ramalho J. ↓, Mbalanda J. ↑,
28', Beniangba V. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
36', Ion R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', Ferrara L. 🟥,
67', Florica L. ↓, Diallo T. ↑,
67', Lake T. ↓, Dailly N. ↑,
77', Cachbach M. ↓, Berberi R. ↑,
79', Kim M. ↓, Yasuda K. ↑,
80', Camara A. ↓, Achahbar K. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Haroun K. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, De Medina N. ⚽, Ion R. (A),
89', Nzoko D. ↓, Driessen J. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Driessen J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ROCCM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.03.26	Kortrijk - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Seraing	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Beveren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Gent U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.03.26	Seraing - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Genk U23 - Lierse	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.11.25	Genk U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:4

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