Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 29

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade de la Neuville (Charleroi)


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Seraing

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.05
	2.36	3.41	3.01
	2.14	3.45	3.26	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.28	3.63	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.05)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	2.98 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
41.7%

Draw
27.2%

Seraing
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Seraing Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. ROCCM will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Seraing will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seraing: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ROCCM (votes: 1 - 50%). Seraing (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Seraing (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - ROCCM (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Seraing (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. ROCCM (votes: 2 - 40%). Seraing (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Embela A. (G) 12. Ramalho J. 27. De Medina N. 4. Jahic H. 6. Kis K. (C) 18. Berberi R. 94. Ephestion T. 77. Ferrara L. 81. Dailly N. 11. Florica L. 9. Omosanya M.	1. Gillekens N. (G) 4. Da Costa E. 6. Solheid N. (C) 13. Camara H. 3. Kebe O. 9. Soumah-Abbad E. 22. Scarpinati M. 25. Ba A. 11. Muland M. 14. Mabani F. 90. Akpa-Chukwu H.
Substitutes
23. Bettinger M. 10. Ion R. 8. Lake T. 32. Mbalanda J. 13. Medfai M. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 28. Spago E. 5. Thea A. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)	19. Bouchentouf N. 5. Bukusu K. 23. Diarra D. 7. Duarte D. 10. Faye S. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 30. Ngoua B. (G) 26. Ondo-Eyi H. 27. Paulo da Silva T.
Coaches
Abdelli N.	Mercier A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Muland M. ⚽,
21', Scarpinati M. 🟨,
34', Da Costa E. 🟨,
37', Ramalho J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Berberi R. ↓, Ion R. ↑,
46', Omosanya M. ↓, Spago E. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Ephestion T. ⚽, Dailly N. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Muland M. ⚽, Mabani F. (A),
61', 1 - 3, Soumah-Abbad E. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Ba A. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
71', Dailly N. ↓, Lake T. ↑,
71', Akpa-Chukwu H. ↓, Paulo da Silva T. ↑,
71', Mabani F. ↓, Ondo-Eyi H. ↑,
71', Ramalho J. ↓, Mbalanda J. ↑,
79', Florica L. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
80', Lake T. 🟨,
81', 1 - 4, Muland M. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Muland M. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
82', Scarpinati M. ↓, Ndiaye C. O. ↑,
83', 2 - 4, Mbalanda J. ⚽, Medfai M. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Recent form of ROCCM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Seraing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seraing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ROCCM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Seraing	6	0	2	4	6:12	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

Seraing - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.68%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Beveren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Gent U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Lokeren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Francs Borains	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWTL
- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.03.26	Seraing - Francs Borains	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lommel - Seraing	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Lierse - Seraing	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Seraing - Anderlecht U23	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Brugge U23 - Seraing	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.08.25	Seraing - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1
Belgian National Division 1
12.10.19	Seraing - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:2

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