Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Daugavas stadions (Riga)

Referee: Stavrev A. (Mkd)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 7, New World Sport App
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
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Belgium	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, RTBF Tipik
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Malaysia	beIN Connect
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Philippines	beIN Connect
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Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
International	Disney+, Fox Sports app


	RFS		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.73
	4.5	3.8	1.73
	4.7	3.95	1.72
	4.68	3.95	1.76
	4.83	3.97	1.69	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.75
	4.71	4.08	1.79
	4.7	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.3)	3.93 ↓ (4)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
20.6%

Draw
24.4%

Anderlecht
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.3%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

24.7%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.7%	95.3%

RFS - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (41 of 42 users predict this - 97.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ondoa F. (G) 30. Njie H. 23. Prenga H. (C) 2. Balodis D. 11. Savalnieks R. 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 18. Zelenkovs D. 8. Odisharia L. 9. Ikaunieks J. 17. Kouadio C.	26. Coosemans C. (C) 54. Sardella K. 13. Zanka 4. Simic J. 5. N'Diaye M. 23. Rits M. 83. Degreef T. 17. Leoni T. 36. Dreyer A. 7. Amuzu F. 12. Dolberg K.
Substitutes
22. Lemajic D. 43. Lipuscek Z. 25. Mares P. 15. Ndjiki R. 3. Osuagwu V. 77. Silagadze L. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 21. Stuglis E. 16. Vilkovs S. (G)	19. Angulo N. 27. Edozie S. 25. Foket T. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 73. Lapage A. 79. Maamar A. 29. Stroeykens M. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G) 20. Vazquez L. 10. Verschaeren Y.
Coaches
Morozs V.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Ikaunieks J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Kouadio C. ↓, Ndjiki R. ↑,
59', Njie H. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
62', Degreef T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
62', Amuzu F. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
62', Dolberg K. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
66', Simic J. 🟨,
74', Coosemans C. 🟨,
79', Sardella K. ↓, Foket T. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Stroeykens M. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
90', Balodis D. ↓, Silagadze L. ↑,
90', Savalnieks R. ↓, Osuagwu V. ↑,
90+1', Dreyer A. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, N'Diaye M. (Own goal),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Daugavas stadions.

RFS is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Anderlecht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

RFS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Anderlecht is a favorite.

There will not play in RFS: Diomande I. (Knee Injury) Emerson Deocleciano (Leg Injury) Jatta A. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Anderlecht: Hazard T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in RFS: Lemajic D. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Vertonghen J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
03.11.24	Grobiņa - RFS	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
30.10.24	RFS - Auda Riga	4:2 ET ✺
Latvian Virsliga
28.10.24	Metta - RFS	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - RFS	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
20.10.24	RFS - Tukums 2000	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.11.24	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	4:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
31.10.24	Tubize - Anderlecht	0:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.10.24	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Anderlecht - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.10.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWL

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