Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Anderlecht		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5
	1.78	3.6	4.5
	1.78	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4.91
	1.78	3.74	4.55	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.75
	1.83	3.88	4.71
	1.78	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	4.74 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
54%

Draw
25.8%

Ludogorets Razgrad
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	5.5%	3.6%

Anderlecht - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (49 of 53 users predict this - 92.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.34% – 99.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (G) 25. Foket T. 4. Simic J. 32. Dendoncker L. (C) 6. Augustinsson L. 23. Rits M. 18. Ashimeru M. 83. Degreef T. 29. Stroeykens M. 36. Dreyer A. 20. Vazquez L.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 24. Verdon O. 4. Almeida D. 17. Son 30. Pedro Naressi (C) 18. Chochev I. 23. Duarte D. 11. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K. 7. Rick
Substitutes
7. Amuzu F. 19. Angulo N. 12. Dolberg K. 27. Edozie S. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 17. Leoni T. 5. N'Diaye M. 54. Sardella K. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G) 10. Verschaeren Y. 13. Zanka	20. Camara A. 77. Erick Marcus 14. Gropper D. 67. Hristov D. (G) 15. Kurtulus E. 1. Padt S. (G) 19. Rusev G. 12. Rwan Seco 5. Terziev G.
Coaches
Hubert D.	Jovicevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Degreef T. 🟨,
30', Caio Vidal 🟥,
41', Verdon O. 🟨,
45+3', Chochev I. 🟨,
45+4', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
45+5', Rick 🟨,
45+6', Jovicevic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Degreef T. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
59', Stroeykens M. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
59', Ashimeru M. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
64', Bonmann H. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Edozie S. ⚽,
75', Augustinsson L. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
75', Duarte D. ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
75', Duah K. ↓, Rwan Seco ↑,
80', Foket T. 🟨,
83', Foket T. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
87', Son ↓, Gropper D. ↑,
87', Chochev I. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
89', Sardella K. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Dreyer A. ⚽, Dolberg K. (A),
90+7', Padt S. 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Anderlecht is a favorite.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Hazard T. (Knee Injury) Vertonghen J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Ludogorets: Nedyalkov A. (Knee Injury) Tekpetey B. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Ludogorets: Piotrowski J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Anderlecht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Anderlecht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.10.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Real Sociedad - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.24	Dender EH - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Anderlecht - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWTW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.10.24	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.09.24	Botev Vratsa - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	Anderlecht - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1 penalties
16.02.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Anderlecht	1:0

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