Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Neuville (Charleroi)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		RFC Liège

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.33	1.6	Watch
	4.55	4.05	1.62
	3.75	3.88	1.78	Watch
	4.54	4.37	1.62	Watch
	4	4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.75)	4.13 ↑ (3.88)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
21.7%

Draw
22.5%

RFC Liège
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

23.7%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - RFC Liège Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: RFC Liège will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Herrerin I. (C) 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 6. Kis K. 55. Corneillie V. 77. Ferrara L. 2. Sarkic O. 17. Cachbach M. 49. Kima Beyissa K. 81. Dailly N. 11. Florica L. 8. Lake T.	12. Belin J. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 5. Ngawa P. 4. Bustin J. 25. D'Ostilio J. (C) 24. De Sart A. 10. Hazard K. 8. Sarmiento D. 18. Paulet S. 20. Gobitaka F. 9. Diouf O.
Substitutes
18. Berberi R. 38. Diallo T. 9. Eyongo R. 10. Ion R. 4. Jahic H. 13. Medfai M. 12. Ramalho J. 28. Spago E. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)	1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 17. Da Silva F. 11. Lefebvre A. 13. Mouchamps D. 23. Reynaerts S. 6. Shkurti K. 19. Soelle F. 28. Wilmots R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Sarmiento D. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Florica L. ⚽,
44', Dailly N. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gobitaka F. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
59', Paulet S. ↓, Shkurti K. ↑,
63', Kis K. 🟥,
66', Sarmiento D. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
67', Lake T. ↓, Ramalho J. ↑,
68', D'Ostilio J. 🟨,
76', Florica L. ↓, Eyongo R. ↑,
77', Kima Beyissa K. ↓, Diallo T. ↑,
77', Sarkic O. ↓, Berberi R. ↑,
81', Soelle F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ROCCM won 0.

Recent form of ROCCM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

RFC Liège is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

RFC Liège may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, RFC Liège is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ROCCM won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 1.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, ROCCM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Cup
28.10.25	Dender EH - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:2 ET ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Brugge U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Eupen	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLT
- RFC Liège
Belgian Cup
28.10.25	RFC Liège - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Lierse - RFC Liège	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	RFC Liège - Genk U23	5:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lommel - RFC Liège	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
12.03.23	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1
30.04.22	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1
01.03.20	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1
23.11.19	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:2
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group C
04.05.18	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ET
25.03.18	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:1
04.11.17	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	2:2

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