Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Rabat Ajax		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	8.25	6	1.22
	11	5.8	1.15
	11.07	6.43	1.19
	12.75	6.95	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.77 ↑ (7.11)	6.3 ↑ (4.63)	1.18 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rabat Ajax
8.4%

Draw
14.5%

Naxxar Lions
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

19.3%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

11.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rabat Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rabat Ajax than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rabat Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-37.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Rabat Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Naxxar Lions is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rabat Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Rabat Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rabat Ajax
Maltese Challenge League
06.03.22	San Ġwann - Rabat Ajax	3:1 ✺
27.02.22	Rabat Ajax - Lija Athletic	1:3 ✺
21.02.22	St. Georges - Rabat Ajax	0:3 ✺
12.02.22	Rabat Ajax - Mqabba	2:2 ✺
06.02.22	Pembroke Athleta - Rabat Ajax	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Challenge League
26.02.22	Naxxar Lions - Melita	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Naxxar Lions	2:9 ✺
13.02.22	Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
10.02.22	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
04.02.22	Naxxar Lions - San Ġwann	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
03.12.21	Naxxar Lions - Rabat Ajax	1:0
17.03.17	Rabat Ajax - Naxxar Lions	1:3
Maltese Premier League
29.03.14	Naxxar Lions - Rabat Ajax	2:0
22.02.14	Rabat Ajax - Naxxar Lions	1:1

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