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Current Win Probability
Racing 41.2%
Draw 30.1%
Colón 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
31.3%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
23.1%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing's performance.
Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Racing - Colón Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Colón will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 32.7% – 67.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Colón has the most likely position - 8 (15.89%), has project points - 38, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Racing is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Colón is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Racing won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.