Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	beIN Connect, FuboTV, Tubi TV
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Racing		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	10	Watch
	1.33	5	8.75
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.26	4.7	7.25
	1.34	5.17	9.24	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5	Watch
	1.32	5.3	9.4	Watch
	1.3	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	5.02 ↑ (5)	9.27 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Racing
71.4%

Draw
18.5%

Huachipato
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

18.8%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.6%

17.5%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (C) 34. Mura F. 3. Di Cesare M. 35. Quiros S. 27. Rojas G. 13. Sosa S. 32. Almendra A. E. 22. Rodriguez B. 8. Quintero J. 17. Carbonero J. 9. Adrian Martinez	24. Cerda F. (G) 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 21. Brea 26. Diaz L. 2. Castillo A. 15. Silva S. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 8. Montes G. 28. Gutierrez M. 9. Rodriguez M. 14. Villanueva C.
Substitutes
4. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 6. Colombo N. 19. Elordi J. M. 20. German Conti 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 5. Nardoni J. 7. Salas M. 30. Sigali L. 28. Solari S. 18. Urzi A. 36. Zuculini B.	7. Briceno M. 22. Carcamo J. 4. Gazzolo B. 31. Leon Munoz M. A. 23. Martinez C. 41. Mellado B. 34. Mella S. (G) 10. Palmezano B. 1. Parra M. (G) 29. Pino S. 11. Saez S. 36. Vecino T.
Coaches
Costas G.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rodriguez B. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Mura F. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Carbonero J. ⚽, Adrian Martinez (A),
45+1', Quintero J. (Pen),
45+3', 4 - 0, Carbonero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Brea ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
48', 4 - 1, Palmezano B. (Pen),
51', 5 - 1, Di Cesare M. ⚽,
55', 6 - 1, Almendra A. E. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
57', Carbonero J. ↓, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↑,
57', Sosa S. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
57', Almendra A. E. ↓, Urzi A. ↑,
60', Vecino T. 🟨,
63', Montes G. ↓, Leon Munoz M. A. ↑,
63', Diaz L. ↓, Mellado B. ↑,
63', Gutierrez M. ↓, Saez S. ↑,
64', Villanueva C. 🟨,
68', Rodriguez B. ↓, Nardoni J. ↑,
75', Rojas G. ↓, Sigali L. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Racing is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Huachipato is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Racing is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.24	Huachipato - Racing	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.24	Racing - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTW
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.24	Deportes Copiapó - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.24	Huachipato - Racing	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.24	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.24	Racing Montevideo - Huachipato	0:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.08.24	Huachipato - Racing	0:2

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