Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)

Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA, FuboTV
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Huachipato		Racing

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.73
	5	3.5	1.72
	5.14	3.43	1.8
	4.77	3.54	1.79	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.67	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (3.4)	3.5 ↑ (3.27)	1.76 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: fubo Sports Network

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
19.5%

Draw
26.9%

Racing
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huachipato's form might have worsened.

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huachipato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	0%	86.4%

Huachipato - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Cerda F. (G) 28. Gutierrez M. 4. Gazzolo B. 13. Malanca R. 2. Castillo A. 8. Montes G. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 26. Diaz L. 23. Martinez C. 11. Saez S. 35. Vecino T.	21. Arias G. (G) 30. Sigali L. (C) 13. Sosa S. 35. Quiros S. 34. Mura F. 22. Rodriguez B. 32. Almendra A. E. 27. Rojas G. 17. Carbonero J. 9. Adrian Martinez 7. Salas M.
Substitutes
21. Brea 7. Briceno M. 3. Gonzales 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 41. Mellado B. 34. Mella S. (G) 10. Palmezano B. 1. Parra M. (G) 9. Rodriguez M. 15. Silva S. 30. Vargas J. 14. Villanueva C.	4. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 6. Colombo N. 19. Elordi J. M. 20. German Conti 44. Gomez F. (G) 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 8. Quintero J. 28. Solari S. 18. Urzi A. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Oca I.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Saez S. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
60', Vecino T. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
61', Carbonero J. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
75', Gutierrez M. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
76', Rodriguez B. ↓, Colombo N. ↑,
83', Sepulveda C. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
83', Diaz L. ↓, Brea ↑,
88', Cerda F. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, Quintero J. (Pen),
90+4', Salas M. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
90+4', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.24	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.24	Racing Montevideo - Huachipato	0:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
19.07.24	Huachipato - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.07.24	Huachipato - Racing Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWTL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.24	Racing - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
24.07.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Racing - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLW

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