Match Info

ARGENTINA: Copa de la Liga Profesional - Round 13

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport


	Racing		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	4	Watch
	2	3.25	3.75
	2.05	3.3	3.65	Watch
	2.06	3.3	4.12
	2.07	3.19	4.12
	2.09	3.26	3.58
	2.04	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.91)	3.27 ↓ (3.41)	3.83 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
46.2%

Draw
29%

Lanús
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

26.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Racing - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Lanús will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (C) 6. Colombo N. 3. Di Cesare M. 2. Garcia A. 28. Solari S. 36. Zuculini B. 32. Almendra A. E. 34. Mura F. 8. Quintero J. F. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez	42. Acosta L. (C) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Perez G. 23. Dominguez N. 6. Luciatti B. 22. Soler J. C. 10. Marcelino Moreno 5. Pena Biafore F. 32. Carrera R. 18. Diaz L. 9. Bou W.
Substitutes
25. Cambeses F. (G) 47. Galvan I. 20. German Conti 49. Gonzalez D. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 35. Quiros S. 38. Rubio T. 18. Urzi A. 29. Vera S.	1. Aguerre A. (G) 40. Alvarez F. 8. Boggio L. 24. Caceres J. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 19. Gonzalez M. 33. Irusta L. 15. Loaiza R. 21. Lotti A. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J. 16. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Costas G.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Mura F. (A),
45+3', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez G. ↓, Loaiza R. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Solari S. ⚽, Quintero J. F. (A),
59', Almendra A. E. ↓, Nardoni J. ↑,
60', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
60', Aguirre B. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
72', Dominguez N. 🟨,
73', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
74', Solari S. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
74', Adrian Martinez ↓, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↑,
81', Colombo N. ↓, German Conti ↑,
81', Quintero J. F. ↓, Urzi A. ↑,
81', Carrera R. ↓, Boggio L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 4.

Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lanús could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Racing will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Racing won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Racing	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.03.24	Central Córdoba - Racing	1:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.03.24	Racing - San Martín de Burzaco	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Boca Juniors - Racing	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTL
- CA Lanús
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Cuiabá - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.03.24	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
20.03.24	Belgrano - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.03.24	Lanús - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.03.24	Tigre - Lanús	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.11.23	Lanús - Racing	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.02.23	Racing - Lanús	2:1
18.10.22	Lanús - Racing	0:1
29.11.21	Racing - Lanús	3:1
07.12.19	Lanús - Racing	1:0
16.09.18	Lanús - Racing	0:1
16.02.18	Racing - Lanús	3:1

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