Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Tigre		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.5	Watch
	2.05	3	3.9
	2	3.1	4.15	Watch
	1.98	3.06	4.57	Watch
	1.98	3.1	4.46	Watch
	2	3.1	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.99)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	4.29 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
47.4%

Draw
30.6%

Newells Old Boys
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

29.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	21.1%	10.5%

Tigre - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Tigre (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tigre (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Ortega M. 30. Paz N. (C) 2. Laso J. 3. Banegas N. 33. Cabrera E. 47. Saralegui J. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Gonzalez S. 18. Armoa B. 29. Russo I.	1. Navas K. (G) 4. Montero A. 37. Lollo L. 18. Victor Cuesta 23. Martino A. 6. Salcedo S. 2. Jacob T. 5. Banega E. (C) 21. Herrera L. 32. Gonzalez C. 24. Silvetti M.
Substitutes
5. Arias R. 40. Barrionuevo A. 28. Benitez R. 20. Fertoli H. 22. Lopez J. 21. Medina S. 25. Moreno V. 23. Pineiro G. 7. Ramirez E. 11. Sarmiento D. 24. Sosa A. (G) 6. Sosa D.	17. Acuna V. 7. Cardozo F. 38. Chiaverano G. 9. Garcia J. 16. Gigena T. 20. Maroni G. 41. Melgarejo A. 27. Regiardo L. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 3. Sosa L. 34. Sotelo D. 25. Tabares A.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Fabbiani C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Victor Cuesta ⚽, Banega E. (A),
28', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
37', Jacob T. 🟨,
37', Scipioni L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Montero A. 🟨,
59', Salcedo S. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
59', Silvetti M. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
71', Armoa B. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Herrera L. ⚽,
75', Jacob T. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
81', Gonzalez S. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
81', Saralegui J. ↓, Sarmiento D. ↑,
83', Victor Cuesta ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
83', Herrera L. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tigre won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Tigre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tigre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tigre won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:22 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Tigre won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.03.25	Tigre - Berazategui	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	Tigre - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Aldosivi - Tigre	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Tigre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLWW
- Newells Old Boys
Copa Argentina
03.04.25	Newells Old Boys - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
03.03.25	Atlético Tucumán - Newells Old Boys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.09.24	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.03.24	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:0
20.10.23	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.05.23	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	2:2
13.10.22	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	0:2
20.10.18	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	2:0
31.03.18	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	2:1

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