Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Racing Beirut		Shabab Baalbeck

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.61	3.55	5
	1.6	3.55	5.01
	1.61	3.61	5.21	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.59	3.52	5.38	Watch
	1.61	3.55	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	5.09 (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Beirut
56.8%

Draw
25.5%

Shabab Baalbeck
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

18%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Beirut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Shabab Baalbeck have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Beirut than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Beirut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab Baalbeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing Beirut - Shabab Baalbeck Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Racing (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Okeuhie E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Kazan J. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shabab Baalbeck has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shabab Baalbeck have a series of home games.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Beirut
Lebanese Premier League
19.04.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Racing Beirut	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Racing Beirut	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Racing Beirut - Hekmeh	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Ahed	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTTL
- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
18.04.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Baalbeck	5:0 ✺
15.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Tadamon Sour	0:4 ✺
09.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Hekmeh	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Ahed	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
31.01.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Racing Beirut	0:0

Racing Beirut - Shabab Baalbeck: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide