Match Info

LEBANON: Premier League - Round 10

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Shabab Baalbeck		Tadamon Sour

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.63
	4.6	3.35	1.7	Watch
	5.83	3.68	1.55	Watch
	5.25	3.46	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.35	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (3.36)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	1.66 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Baalbeck
18.4%

Draw
26.4%

Tadamon Sour
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

26.1%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Baalbeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabab Baalbeck's form might have worsened.

Tadamon Sour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tadamon Sour's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Baalbeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tadamon Sour than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tadamon Sour, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shabab Baalbeck - Tadamon Sour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, ⚽,
87', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Recently Tadamon have a series of guest games.

Tadamon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
09.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Hekmeh	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Ahed	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Nejmeh - Shabab Baalbeck	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Baalbeck	5:0 ✺
07.02.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
09.03.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
26.02.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Tadamon Sour	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Hekmeh - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

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