Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 29

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Racing Murcia		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.9
	3.47	3.39	1.88
	3.7	3.22	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.47)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	1.92 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Murcia
25.6%

Draw
27.4%

Águilas
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.5%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

26%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Racing Murcia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Águilas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Águilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Águilas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Racing Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.04.23	Lorca Deportiva - Racing Murcia	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Racing Murcia - Unión Molinense	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Pulpileño - Racing Murcia	3:0 ✺
12.03.23	Racing Murcia - El Palmar	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Alcantarilla - Racing Murcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTW
- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.04.23	Caravaca - Águilas	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Minera - Águilas	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Águilas - Real Murcia B	4:3 ✺
12.03.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Águilas	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Águilas - Muleño	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.12.22	Águilas - Racing Murcia	0:1
16.05.21	Racing Murcia - Águilas	1:0
25.04.21	Águilas - Racing Murcia	1:1

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