Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Minera		Águilas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.88
	2.42	2.84	3.35
	2.4	2.83	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)	2.85 ↓ (2.96)	3.09 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
38.1%

Draw
32.2%

Águilas
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Minera - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Mas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Martinez C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Minera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Águilas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Águilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Minera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Minera - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Minera - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Xerez CD - Minera	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Minera - La Unión	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Minera - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLWT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Águilas - Melilla	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Puente Genil - Águilas	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Águilas	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Águilas - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.25	Minera - Águilas	0:0
15.09.24	Águilas - Minera	4:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.03.23	Minera - Águilas	0:0
27.11.22	Águilas - Minera	3:0
10.02.19	Minera - Águilas	1:0

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