Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect
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Azerbaijan	Idman TV
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China	Migu
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 6
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Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
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India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
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Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
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Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
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Serbia	Arena Premium 2
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South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
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Taiwan	DAZN
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Racing Santander		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.65
	2.55	3.50	2.63	Watch
	2.77	3.50	2.64
	2.45	3.63	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.45	2.60
	2.74	3.60	2.68	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)	3.53 ↑ (3.38)	2.64 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
36.4%

Draw
27.2%

Deportivo Alavés
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	45.8%	50%

Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 30% – 70%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 5. Ramon P. 24. Belocian J. 17. Salinas J. 23. Martin I. 18. Prati M. 15. Garcia P. 20. Canales S. 10. Vicente I. 21. Zabiri Y.	1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Koski V. 7. Perez A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 4. Suarez D. 21. Rebbach A. 15. Boye L. 9. Diaz M.
Substitutes
8. Almeida A. 9. Arana J. 31. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 14. Gueye M. 7. Guliashvili G. 19. Luque I. 4. Manu Hernando 3. Martin A. 22. Pedro Felipe 6. Sainz-Maza I. 12. Villalibre A.	10. Alena C. 24. Diallo Selu M. 6. Guevara A. 20. Manas A. 11. Martinez T. 12. Novoa Ramos H. 27. Olaiz X. 23. Protesoni C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Rodriguez M. 2. Valentini N. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Lopez J.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
8', Ibanez P. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Koski V. ⚽,
35', Zabiri Y. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ibanez P. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
46', Tenaglia N. ↓, Valentini N. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
62', Salinas J. 🟨,
62', Blanco A. 🟨,
65', Garcia P. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
67', Blanco A. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
67', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
74', Canales S. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
74', Zabiri Y. ↓, Guliashvili G. ↑,
84', Vicente I. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
84', Prati M. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
86', Perez A. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
89', Almeida A. 🟥,
90+7', Manas A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
90+8', Guliashvili G. ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0.

Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alavés is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Alavés has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Racing: Eriksson S. (Shoulder Injury) Martin A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.4% Racing Santander: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11:21	-10	7

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.41%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga
05.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Racing Santander - Elche	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Getafe - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	5:2 ✺
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Deportivo Alavés - Castellón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.24	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
22.07.23	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	3:0
01.11.22	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
18.07.18	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.15	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	2:1

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