Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Rayo Vallecano		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.60
	2.02	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.6	3.91
	2.12	3.62	3.36	Watch
	2.01	3.55	3.85
	2.07	3.64	3.88	Watch
	2.01	3.65	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	3.73 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
47.5%

Draw
26.8%

Racing Santander
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

29.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Santander, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	8.3%	29.2%

Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Racing will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cardenas D. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 6. Ciss P. 17. Pedrosa A. 8. Lopez U. 23. Valentin O. (C) 4. Diaz P. 19. de Frutos J. 10. Camello S. 18. Garcia A.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu Hernando 16. Gonzalez F. 17. Salinas J. 23. Martin I. 18. Prati M. 15. Garcia P. 20. Canales S. 10. Vicente I. 21. Zabiri Y.
Substitutes
9. Alemao 25. Audero E. (G) 20. Balliu I. 37. Belaid R. 36. Bouare G. 26. de las Sias M. 22. Fernandez P. 11. Nteka R. 21. Perez F. 15. Sadick M. 14. Tsitaishvili G.	8. Almeida A. 9. Arana J. 24. Belocian J. 1. Eriksson S. (G) 14. Gueye M. 7. Guliashvili G. 3. Martin A. 22. Pedro Felipe 38. Perez H. 5. Ramon P. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 12. Villalibre A.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', Valentin O. 🟨,
4', 0 - 1, Canales S. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Ratiu A. ⚽, Camello S. (A),
25', Zabiri Y. 🟨,
28', 1 - 2, Garcia P. ⚽,
35', Vicente I. 🟨,
39', Camello S. 🟨,
43', 2 - 2, Camello S. ⚽, Lopez U. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 3 - 2, Camello S. ⚽, Lopez U. (A),
55', Gonzalez F. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
55', Prati M. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
55', Manu Hernando ↓, Ramon P. ↑,
57', Valentin O. ↓, Bouare G. ↑,
57', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
65', de Frutos J. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
66', Lejeune F. 🟨,
74', Garcia A. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
75', Pedrosa A. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
86', Perez F. 🟥,
89', de Frutos J. 🟥,
90', Garcia P. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
90', Mantilla A. ↓, Martin A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.

Rayo Vallecano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Rayo Vallecano: 0.29% Racing Santander: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11:21	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.26	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	5:2 ✺
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Charleroi - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
26.07.26	Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWT
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.26	Racing Santander - Elche	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Getafe - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.07.20	Racing Santander - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
13.09.19	Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
03.03.12	Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander	4:2

Upcoming Matches