Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 3, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Málaga		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.33	3.9	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.33
	1.65	4.25	4.15	Watch
	1.72	4.31	4.44
	1.7	4.29	4.3	Watch
	1.67	4	4
	1.71	4.37	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	4.24 ↓ (4.39)	4.21 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
55.7%

Draw
22.1%

Racing Santander
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

21.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

22.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Málaga - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: Málaga will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Málaga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 23. Merino I. 11. Munoz J. 9. Chupe 12. Dotor C.	1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 23. Rodriguez D. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 20. Camara S. 12. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 5. Brasanac D. 6. Enriquez R. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.	8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 5. Castro J. 44. Chino 34. Diaz D. 13. Eriksson S. (G) 3. Garcia M. 36. Martinez S. 17. Mata J. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 10. Vicente I.
Coaches
Funes J.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Larrubia D. ⚽, Dotor C. (A),
15', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
24', Gueye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Camara S. ↓, Vicente I. ↑,
53', Ramon P. 🟨,
60', Lorenzo D. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
61', Manu ↓, Castro J. ↑,
61', Gueye M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
61', Villalibre A. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
69', Puga C. 🟨,
69', Ramon P. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
78', Dotor C. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
78', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
80', Salinas J. 🟨,
85', Mantilla A. 🟨,
86', Rodriguez D. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
87', Puga C. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
87', Larrubia D. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
87', Munoz J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Racing is Qualified for LaLiga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0.

Málaga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Málaga is the team to beat.

There will not play in Málaga: Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Juanpe (Muscle Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Gonzalez F. (Ankle Injury) Lozano M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Gueye M. (Injury) Guliashvili G. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Ceuta - Málaga	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Eibar - Málaga	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Málaga - Castellón	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Almería - Málaga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Racing Santander - Valladolid	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Leganés - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Racing Santander - Huesca	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ceuta - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0
01.02.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	2:1
23.11.24	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:0
05.03.23	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:1
01.10.22	Racing Santander - Málaga	0:0
23.02.20	Málaga - Racing Santander	2:0
17.08.19	Racing Santander - Málaga	0:1

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