Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Pedrera (San Luis)


	Racing de Córdoba		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.65	2.9
	1.82	3.4	3.8
	1.82	3.2	4.1
	1.75	3.17	4.4
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.8	3.22	4.3
	1.86	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.7)	3.15 ↑ (2.54)	4 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing de Córdoba
48%

Draw
29.1%

Villa Mitre
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

35%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

36.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing de Córdoba's performance.

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Mitre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing de Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Mitre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Racing de Córdoba - Villa Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Villa Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing de Córdoba: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.

Racing de Córdoba is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villa Mitre is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing de Córdoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Racing de Córdoba have a series of home games.

In this match Racing de Córdoba is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.11.22	Racing de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
10.10.22	Unión de Sunchales - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTT
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.11.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:1 penalties ✺
29.10.22	Villa Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Villa Mitre - Sportivo Belgrano	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	Villa Mitre - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWT

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