Match Info

National League North - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Spennymoor Town		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.4
	2.45	3.55	2.48
	2.53	3.59	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.51	3.66	2.51
	2.57	3.2	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.57)	3.43 ↓ (3.73)	2.52 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
36.8%

Draw
26.7%

Radcliffe
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

24.9%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Spennymoor Town - Radcliffe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spennymoor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Spennymoor (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spennymoor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
28', 0 - 1, Clegg R. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Afuye M. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Clegg R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 1 - 3, Taylor G. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Hancox M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Spennymoor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Radcliffe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Spennymoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Spennymoor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Radcliffe	14	5	0	9	16:24	-8	15
24	Spennymoor	13	1	4	8	12:27	-15	7

Last Results with these Odds

Radcliffe - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
30.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	South Shields - Spennymoor Town	6:0 ✺
20.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Marine - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTTW
- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
06.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Radcliffe - Fylde	3:3 ✺
26.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Radcliffe - Leamington	2:1 ✺
16.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.08.25	Radcliffe - Spennymoor Town	0:2
25.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Radcliffe	3:2
03.09.24	Radcliffe - Spennymoor Town	2:4
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Radcliffe - Spennymoor Town	0:1

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