Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday


	Radcliffe		Stalybridge Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.65	3.5	4.6
	1.7	3.75	4.94
	1.67	3.7	4.45
	1.68	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)	3.59 ↓ (3.84)	4.54 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
54.4%

Draw
25.5%

Stalybridge Celtic
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radcliffe's performance.

Stalybridge Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stalybridge Celtic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radcliffe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalybridge Celtic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stalybridge Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Radcliffe - Stalybridge Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Radcliffe will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Stalybridge will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stalybridge: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Stalybridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.22	Warrington Town - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
27.09.22	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Stafford Rangers - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
13.09.22	Marine - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW
- Stalybridge Celtic
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Morpeth Town	0:3 ✺
27.09.22	Belper Town - Stalybridge Celtic	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Stalybridge Celtic	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Nantwich Town	1:2 ✺
13.09.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
02.04.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Radcliffe	0:2
20.11.21	Radcliffe - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1
02.11.19	Radcliffe - Stalybridge Celtic	1:0
21.09.19	Stalybridge Celtic - Radcliffe	1:3

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