Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Radcliffe		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.5
	1.53	4.33	4.75
	1.57	4.6	4.54
	1.58	4.61	4.54
	1.53	4.33	4.33
	1.53	4.25	4.7
	1.53	4.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.38)	4.4 ↓ (4.9)	4.59 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
59.3%

Draw
20.8%

Whitby Town
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

17.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radcliffe's form might have worsened.

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radcliffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Radcliffe - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 2.

Radcliffe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Whitby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Whitby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Radcliffe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Radcliffe to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Farsley - Radcliffe	2:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
11.11.23	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.11.23	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Whitby Town	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Hyde United - Whitby Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Bristol Rovers - Whitby Town	7:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
23.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	3:2
English NPL Premier Division
04.03.23	Whitby Town - Radcliffe	0:0
27.09.22	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	1:1
09.04.22	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	4:3
17.08.21	Whitby Town - Radcliffe	0:0
27.10.20	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	3:3
14.03.20	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	2:2

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