Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Radomiak Radom		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.30
	2.95	3.25	2.25
	3.08	3.53	2.35
	3.01	3.54	2.31	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.25
	2.93	3.44	2.27	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.89)	3.4 ↓ (3.52)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
31.5%

Draw
27.5%

Cracovia
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Radomiak Radom - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Cracovia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Radomiak (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 3. Szczesniak K. 72. Koperski F. 13. Grzesik J. 77. Donis C. 7. Nunnely C. 27. Wolski R. (C) 82. Luquinhas 90. Lumungo R. 11. Goure F.	13. Madejski S. (G) 25. Kakabadze O. (C) 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 39. Perkovic M. 43. Klich M. 79. Pila D. 6. Al Ammari A. 14. Hasic A. 90. Berte M. 17. Minchev M.
Substitutes
28. Baro R. 5. Blasco J. 8. Camara I. 97. Conrado 99. Gradecki B. (G) 80. Guilherme Luiz 23. Karasek K. 14. Kingue S. 44. Koptas W. (G) 18. Manu 15. Tapsoba A.	22. Baumgartner D. 28. Burlet V. 77. Chrapusta J. (G) 29. Dej W. 15. Glik K. 70. Kameri D. 20. Knap K. 47. Ltaief S. 7. Praszelik M. 23. Ravas H. (G) 5. Selan B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.
Coaches
Kaczmarek T.	Grzelak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Minchev M. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Wolski R. ⚽,
57', Al Ammari A. 🟨,
59', Nunnely C. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
59', Goure F. ↓, Conrado ↑,
59', Lumungo R. ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Wolski R. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Henriksson G. ↓, Baumgartner D. ↑,
66', Pila D. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
66', Minchev M. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
73', Klich M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
74', Wolski R. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
77', Baumgartner D. 🟨,
83', Berte M. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
86', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
87', Luquinhas ↓, Blasco J. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 4.

Recent form of Radomiak has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cracovia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Radomiak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Inactive) Balde E. (Inactive) Cichocki M. (Inactive) Kingue S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cracovia: Marchwinski F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Radomiak: Dieguez A. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Cracovia: 0.68% Radomiak Radom: 0.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Radomiak Radom - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.3%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	5:0 ✺
08.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	GKS Katowice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.08.26	Cracovia - Wieczysta Kraków	3:2 ✺
16.08.26	Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.05.26	Cracovia - Radomiak Radom	0:0
07.11.25	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	3:0
08.03.25	Cracovia - Radomiak Radom	1:2
31.08.24	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	2:1
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Cracovia - Radomiak Radom	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.02.24	Cracovia - Radomiak Radom	6:0
05.08.23	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	0:1

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