Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Ragusa		Igea Virtus Barcellona

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.1	2.18
	2.98	3.22	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 (2.98)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ragusa
30.4%

Draw
28.7%

Igea Virtus Barcellona
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ragusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Igea Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Igea Virtus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ragusa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ragusa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Igea Virtus	6	3	2	1	14:11	3	11
16	USD Ragusa	6	0	2	4	4:9	-5	2

Last Results with these Odds

Igea Virtus Barcellona - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
29.03.26	Savoia - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ragusa - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ragusa - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Milazzo - Ragusa	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ragusa - Castrumfavara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.4 LTTWW
- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
29.03.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Castrumfavara	3:2 ✺
25.03.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Reggina	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Gelbison Cilento - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Nissa - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sambiase - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	0:0
27.04.25	Ragusa - Igea Virtus Barcellona	3:2
25.02.24	Ragusa - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1
22.10.23	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	1:0

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