Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sambiase		Igea Virtus Barcellona

	1	X	2
	2.68	3	2.48
	2.99	2.83	2.4
	3.55	2.95	2.12	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.38
	3.55	2.84	2.14
	3	2.85	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.69)	2.86 ↓ (3.03)	2.32 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambiase
29.2%

Draw
31.7%

Igea Virtus Barcellona
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambiase has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambiase, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Sambiase - Igea Virtus Barcellona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Sambiase has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Igea Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sambiase won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sambiase	9	6	2	1	13:6	7	20
8	Igea Virtus	9	4	3	2	21:17	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
08.02.26	Savoia - Sambiase	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sambiase - Ragusa	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Castrumfavara - Sambiase	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sambiase - Gelbison Cilento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWW
- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
08.02.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gela	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Enna - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Acireale - Igea Virtus Barcellona	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
12.10.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Sambiase	1:2

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