Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Raith TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Raith Rovers		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.00	7.00
	1.38	4.20	6.75
	1.40	4.20	7.50	Watch
	1.44	4.28	8.33
	1.53	3.91	6.17	Watch
	1.40	4.20	8.20
	1.42	4.52	7.92	Watch
	1.39	4.30	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.68)	4.2 ↑ (3.56)	7.46 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
65.5%

Draw
22.1%

Stenhousemuir
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raith Rovers's performance.

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stenhousemuir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Users Predictions: Raith Rovers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 22. Millen R. 2. Rowe J. 3. Delaney Z. 16. Stevenson L. (C) 7. Lyall A. 25. Montagu K. 18. McMullan P. 11. Robertson J. 23. Easton D. 19. Dowds A.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. (C) 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 14. Bilham K. 39. Gillies M. 17. Anderson M. 28. Penman C. 21. Hodgkiss L. 11. O'Donnell L. 15. Carrick D.
Substitutes
13. Armstrong L. (G) 5. Fordyce C. 17. Gibson L. 4. Hanlon P. 21. Telfer Ch.	9. Aitken M. 22. Buchanan G. 6. Graham A. . Grant L. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) . MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. 23. Robson F. 3. Simpson O.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Bartley M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, McMullan P. ⚽, Easton D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Hodgkiss L. ⚽,
38', Anderson M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Montagu K. 🟨,
60', McMullan P. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
68', Stevenson L. ↓, Hanlon P. ↑,
68', Carrick D. ↓, Aitken M. ↑,
73', Hodgkiss L. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
73', O'Donnell L. ↓, Robson F. ↑,
82', Penman C. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
83', Bilham K. ↓, Grant L. ↑,
83', Lyall A. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
85', O'Reilly E. 🟨,
86', Gillies M. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Raith has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Raith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Raith is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Stenhousemuir: 21.23% Raith: 15.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	8	7	1	0	12:2	10	22
2	Raith	9	5	2	2	13:6	7	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	Raith Rovers - Peterhead	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	2:1 penalties ✺
14.07.26	Kilmarnock - Raith Rovers	1:0 penalties ✺
11.07.26	Raith Rovers - Elgin City	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Raith Rovers - Edinburgh City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Partick Thistle - Stenhousemuir	2:3 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Brechin City - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
16.05.26	Stenhousemuir - Alloa Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
06.04.19	Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers	1:1
05.01.19	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	5:1
17.11.18	Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers	1:3
11.08.18	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	2:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
18.08.15	Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers	2:0

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