Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Raków Częstochowa		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	9.5	Watch
	1.2	6.5	14
	1.2	6.4	14
	1.19	6.2	14
	1.21	6.77	15.28
	1.17	5.8	15	Watch
	1.2	6.7	15.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.35)	6.41 ↑ (4.79)	13.86 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
78.6%

Draw
14.6%

Górnik Łęczna
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

18.5%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Raków in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Górnik Łęczna is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raków could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Raków is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Raków won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.04.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
10.04.22	Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.04.22	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.04.22	Warta Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.04.22	Lech Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	3:0 ✺
16.04.22	Górnik Łęczna - Radomiak Radom	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Łęczna	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Szczecin	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.22	Górnik Łęczna - Resovia Rzeszów	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
31.10.21	Górnik Łęczna - Raków Częstochowa	0:0
Polish Division 1
27.05.18	Górnik Łęczna - Raków Częstochowa	2:1
04.11.17	Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Łęczna	3:1

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