Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 30

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball


	Raków Częstochowa		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.54	4.1	5.8
	1.58	4.04	6.05
	1.55	4.05	6.26	Watch
	1.55	3.75	6
	1.58	3.96	5.82	Watch
	1.54	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	3.98 ↓ (4.03)	5.84 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
60.3%

Draw
23.6%

Śląsk Wrocław
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 50%). Śląsk (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 2. Mosor A. 88. Rodin M. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 7. Tudor F. 5. Berggren G. 30. Kochergin V. 84. Adriano 15. Diaz J. 10. Lopez I. 18. Brunes J.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 78. Guercio T. 3. Szota S. (C) 5. Petkov A. 28. Marc L. B. 29. Jezierski J. 8. Pozo J. 22. Zukowski M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 19. Ortiz A. 25. Udahl H.
Substitutes
23. Barath P. 99. Basse A. 12. Kuciak D. (G) 8. Lederman B. 9. Makuch P. 14. Plavsic S. 17. Rocha L. 3. Rundic M. 97. Seck I.	9. Al Hamlawi A. 21. Baluta T. 26. Ince B. 23. Jasper S. 13. Kurowski K. 1. Loska T. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 2. Paluszek A. 20. Wolczek A.
Coaches
Papszun M.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Mosor A. ⚽, Kochergin V. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Diaz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Udahl H. ↓, Al Hamlawi A. ↑,
56', Jezierski J. 🟨,
64', Mosor A. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
64', Lopez I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
68', Szota S. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽,
72', Zukowski M. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
75', Jezierski J. ↓, Wolczek A. ↑,
75', Marc L. B. ↓, Kurowski K. ↑,
80', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
80', Tudor F. ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
80', Pozo J. ↓, Baluta T. ↑,
83', Kurowski K. 🟨,
84', Diaz J. ↓, Seck I. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raków won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Raków is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Raków won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Raków Częstochowa - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.04.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
31.03.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWW
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.04.25	Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Katowice	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cracovia - Śląsk Wrocław	2:4 ✺
05.04.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	0:0
25.05.24	Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2
03.12.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:1
10.03.23	Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	4:1
28.08.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:4
10.04.22	Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1
16.10.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:2

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