Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow (Częstochowa)

Referee: Nalbandyan H. (Arm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Raków Częstochowa		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.90	Watch
	2.30	3.20	2.87
	2.30	3.35	2.95	Watch
	2.31	3.30	3.14
	2.32	3.26	3.07	Watch
	2.25	3.00	3.05
	2.36	3.23	3.13	Watch
	2.26	3.30	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
40.5%

Draw
28.7%

Hammarby
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

26.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	19%	14.3%

Raków Częstochowa - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Hammarby will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Raków (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Raków (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 20. Silva J. C. 10. Kochergin V. 6. Repka O. 19. Ameyaw M. 11. Emreli M. 9. Makuch P. 5. Bulat M.	1. Hahn W. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 6. Fofana I. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 8. Karlsson M. 5. Tekie T. 28. Adjei F. 20. Besara N. (C) 16. Persson N. 9. Lind V.
Substitutes
39. Brusberg I. 77. Debohi D. G. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 17. Jendryka J. 71. Karic T. (G) 15. Kwiatkowski O. 88. Molnar A. 2. Napieraj J. 26. Otieno E. 21. Pienko T. 23. Struski K. 29. Zolneczko W. (G)	7. Abraham P. 17. Boudri A. 15. Hagen O. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 11. Johansson O. 29. Kabore E. 30. Kebbeh S. 22. Lindberg W. 26. Madjed M. 50. Norell B. (G) 24. Renecke W. 31. Steinke O.
Coaches
Kroczek D.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Persson N. 🟨,
25', Tudor F. ↓, Debohi D. G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Lind V. ↓, Abraham P. ↑,
65', Besara N. ↓, Madjed M. ↑,
66', Silva J. C. ↓, Otieno E. ↑,
66', Bulat M. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
73', Ameyaw M. 🟨,
79', Karlsson M. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
79', Adjei F. ↓, Boudri A. ↑,
81', Winther F. 🟨,
90+3', Persson N. ↓, Renecke W. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Raków might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Valletta - Raków Częstochowa	0:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.26	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Raków Częstochowa - Valletta	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	GKS Katowice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWT
- Hammarby IF Football
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Anderlecht - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.07.26	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Hammarby - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.07.26	Hammarby - Degerfors	4:0 ✺
12.07.26	Hammarby - Kalmar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTWW

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