The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Raków Częstochowa 48.9%
Draw 24.7%
Motor Lublin 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
23.6%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
24.3%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raków Częstochowa's form might have worsened.
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
10%
10%
Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 21. Pienko T. 23. Struski K. 6. Repka O. 20. Silva J. C. 9. Makuch P. 11. Emreli M. 5. Bulat M.
33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 18. Bereszynski B. 39. Bartos M. 24. Luberecki F. 27. Bourhane Y. 30. Ndiaye M. 6. Legowski M. 7. Rodrigues I. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 10. Czubak K. (C)
Substitutes
22. Abraham O. 99. Basse A. 3. Brorsson A. 39. Brusberg I. 77. Debohi D. G. 17. Jendryka J. 71. Karic T. (G) 10. Kochergin V. 44. Mircetic B. 88. Molnar A. 36. Perovic M. 19. Zatterstrom N.
70. Aiko M. 5. Akatov A. 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 8. Kikis 2. Meyer P. 4. Plavotic T. 71. Popa M. (G) 77. Posmyk M. 9. Rony Lopes 29. Santos T. 47. Tall A.
Coaches
Szulczek D.
Misiura M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', Struski K. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Lukoszek K. ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Makuch P. ⚽, Bulat M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Struski K. ↓, Kochergin V. ↑,
62', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
76', Bulat M. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Makuch P. ⚽, Kochergin V. (A),
80', Ndiaye M. ↓, Rony Lopes ↑,
80', Legowski M. ↓, Kikis ↑,
81', Kochergin V. 🟨,
85', Misiura M. 🟨,
87', Silva J. C. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
87', Emreli M. ↓, Abraham O. ↑,
87', Luberecki F. ↓, Posmyk M. ↑,
87', Lukoszek K. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 15).
Raków is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Motor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.
In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
There will not play in Raków: Diaby-Fadiga L.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Motor: Plichta K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Raków: Otieno E.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Motor Lublin: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Motor Lublin
9
1
3
5
9:15
-6
6
18
Rakow
9
1
0
8
12:21
-9
3
Last Results with these Odds
Raków Częstochowa - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.41%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Trelowski K. (G) 
Tudor F. (C) 
Racovitan B. 
Svarnas S. 
Silva J. C. 
Emreli M. 
Tratnik G. (G) 
Bartos M. 
Bourhane Y. 
Ndiaye M. 
Rodrigues I. 
Abraham O. 
Brorsson A. 
Debohi D. G. 
Karic T. (G) 
Kochergin V. 
Mircetic B. 
Molnar A. 
Perovic M. 
Aiko M. 
Akatov A. 
Haxha F. 
Santos T. 
