Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 17

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Raków Częstochowa II		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.98
				Watch
	3.1	3.65	1.91
	3.1	3.51	1.88
	3.02	3.8	1.97	Watch
	3.7	3.9	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	3.69 ↓ (3.9)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa II
28.3%

Draw
24.3%

Lechia Zielona Góra
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

23.3%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

22.4%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa II than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Raków Częstochowa II - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Raków II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zielona Góra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zielona Góra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zielona Góra is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raków II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Raków II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.11.23	Kluczbork - Raków Częstochowa II	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Pniówek Pawłowice - Raków Częstochowa II	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:4 ✺
21.10.23	Polkowice - Raków Częstochowa II	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWT
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.11.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice	0:1 ✺
25.10.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
02.04.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0
26.08.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Raków Częstochowa II	1:1

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