Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)


	Raków Częstochowa		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6.75	Watch
	1.5	4	6.85
	1.46	4.25	6.75
	1.48	4.18	7.46
	1.43	4.25	6.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	4.2 (4.2)	6.85 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
64%

Draw
22.3%

Spartak Trnava
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22.2%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.8%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	4.5%	9.1%

Raków Częstochowa - Spartak Trnava Predictions

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (57 of 66 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.08% – 94.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Raków is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trnava is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Trnava have a series of home games.

In this match Raków is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Raków to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Raków won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.08.22	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Spartak Trnava - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.22	Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Astana - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
21.07.22	Raków Częstochowa - Astana	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW
- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
07.08.22	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Spartak Trnava - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
31.07.22	Spartak Trnava - Podbrezová	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Newtown - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
24.07.22	Spartak Trnava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Spartak Trnava - Raków Częstochowa	0:2

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