Match Info

Date: 28 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Astana Arena (Nur-Sultan)

Referee: Klima T. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Viaplay


	Astana		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2
	3.5	3.5	1.98
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.25	3.55	2.04
	3.41	3.55	2.04
	3.2	3.58	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.64)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
27.8%

Draw
26.2%

Raków Częstochowa
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

28%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	19.6%	41.3%

Astana - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%). Raków will win (votes: 19 - 41.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 27.1% – 55.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-5.

Recent matches Astana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raków is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Raków will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Astana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Cup
24.07.22	Turan Turkistan - Astana	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Raków Częstochowa - Astana	5:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
15.07.22	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	5:2 ✺
08.07.22	Zhetysu - Astana	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.07.22	Astana - Makhtaaral	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWTW
- Raków Częstochowa
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Raków Częstochowa - Astana	5:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.07.22	Raków Częstochowa - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
Polish Super Cup
09.07.22	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Raków Częstochowa - Chojniczanka Chojnice	5:1 ✺
22.06.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Raków Częstochowa - Astana	5:0

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