Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Referee: Rodriguez D. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Viju+ Sport
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Rampla Juniors		Cerro

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.75
	2.4	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.96
	2.42	3.22	2.87
	2.38	3.2	2.75
	2.44	3.28	2.82	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.6)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
38.6%

Draw
28.6%

Cerro
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

29.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Rampla Juniors - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. (C) 3. Centurion L. 30. Madruga A. 33. Camargo G. 32. Arismendi D. 18. Adoryan T. 15. Plada J. 14. Rosa D. 10. Mezquida N. 7. Rinaldi L.	1. Cubero M. (G) 4. Alvarez E. 3. Crespo E. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 16. Abero M. 5. Macelli A. 21. Gorgoroso Y. 20. Rabunal M. 11. Berrios J. 14. Perez Azambuya E. M. 9. Gonzalez N.
Substitutes
16. Almeida E. 29. Alvarez A. 24. Bassadone L. 28. Casuriaga F. 11. Machado G. 5. Mendez I. 6. Ospitaleche F. 27. Peres L. 12. Segovia L. (G) 2. Toledo J.	2. Araujo C. 17. Coccaro D. 12. Larrea K. (G) 8. Petillo N. 10. Ramirez S. 18. Rodriguez G. 7. Scorza B. 6. Tijanovich H. 19. Triunfo G. 99. Wunsch N.
Coaches
Martinez E.	Pallas I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽,
20', Rabunal M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gorgoroso Y. ↓, Triunfo G. ↑,
46', Rabunal M. ↓, Petillo N. ↑,
54', Rosa D. ↓, Bassadone L. ↑,
54', Mezquida N. ↓, Almeida E. ↑,
62', Berrios J. 🟨,
68', Madruga A. 🟨,
70', Madruga A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
74', Berrios J. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Rinaldi L. ⚽,
84', Rinaldi L. 🟨,
85', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Tijanovich H. ↑,
89', Abero M. 🟨,
90', Bassadone L. 🟨,
90+3', Plada J. ↓, Machado G. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 0.

Recent matches Rampla Juniors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 14:26 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rampla Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Miramar Misiones - Rampla Juniors	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Rampla Juniors - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	4:0 ✺
08.09.24	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLW
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.10.24	Cerro - Miramar Misiones	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Cerro Largo - Cerro	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:5 ✺
14.09.24	Progreso - Cerro	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Cerro - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
28.07.24	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	4:1
07.04.24	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	3:0
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.10.22	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	0:0
16.10.22	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	0:1
03.09.22	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	2:2
12.06.22	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	1:0
10.11.21	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	1:2

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